Investing prudently requires understanding economic fundamentals. Here's some insight into current economic conditions and the kind of ongoing analysis required to manage wealth prudently for the long term over up and down economic cycles.
The economy is measured quarterly in terms of gross domestic product (GDP), which is the sum of four factors: consumption, investment, government and net exports. Consumer spending is by far most important, accounting for 69% of U.S. economic activity. The key to strong economic growth, then, is a strong American consumer.
In the final quarter of 2017, net exports were a drag on GDP growth. However, net exports are volatile month-to-month and its dips have been followed repeatedly by surges over the past two cycles of the economic expansion and recession that occurred since January 2002.
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